The 2026 women’s tournament bracket has been trimmed by 32 after first-round action, and only a single double-digit seed survived the first round (10-seeded Virginia).
While the first round featured several games with 50-point spreads, only the odds-on title favorite UConn has a line that exceeds 27 points; the Huskies are a 36.5-point favorite against Syracuse on Monday.
Action tips off at noon ET on both Sunday and Monday. Texas is the only No. 1 seed of the four playing Sunday, facing 8-seed Oregon. Here are the lines and BPI projections for every game in the second round.
Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook as of latest time-stamp and are subject to change.
More: Every team’s tournament odds
Sunday
(5) Maryland Terrapins
(4) North Carolina Tar Heels -2.5
Chapel Hill, North Carolina, Noon ET
Money line:
Maryland Terrapins +124
North Carolina Tar Heels -148
Total: 136.5
Maryland: 23-8, 11-7 in Big Ten play
North Carolina: 26-7, 14-4 in ACC play
BPI projection: North Carolina Tar Heels by 1.7 points, straight up 56.5% of the time
(7) NC State Wolfpack
(2) Michigan Wolverines -13.5
Ann Arbor, Michigan, 1 p.m. ET
Money line:
NC State Wolfpack +675
Michigan Wolverines -1050
Total: 143.5
NC State: 20-10, 13-5 in ACC play
Michigan: 25-6, 15-3 in Big Ten play
BPI projection: Michigan Wolverines by 11.2 points, straight up 84.7% of the time
(5) Ole Miss Rebels
(4) Minnesota Golden Gophers -4.5
Minneapolis, 2 p.m. ET
Money line:
Ole Miss Rebels +164
Minnesota Golden Gophers -198
Total: 126.5
Ole Miss: 23-11, 8-8 in SEC play
Minnesota: 22-8, 13-5 in Big Ten play
BPI projection: Minnesota Golden Gophers by 6 points, straight up 71.4% of the time
(7) Texas Tech Lady Raiders
(2) LSU Tigers -24.5
Baton Rouge, Louisiana, 3 p.m. ET
Money line:
Texas Tech Lady Raiders +3000
LSU Tigers -10000
Total: 145.5
Texas Tech: 25-7, 12-6 in Big 12 play
LSU: 27-5, 12-4 in SEC play
BPI projection: LSU Tigers by 21.8 points, straight up 96.5% of the time
(6) Baylor Bears
(3) Duke Blue Devils -12.5
Durham, North Carolina, 4 p.m. ET
Money line:
Baylor Bears +650
Duke Blue Devils -1000
Total: 126.5
Baylor: 24-8, 13-5 in Big 12 play
Duke: 24-8, 16-2 in ACC play
BPI projection: Duke Blue Devils by 11.2 points, straight up 84.6% of the time
(8) Oregon Ducks
(1) Texas Longhorns -26.5
Austin, Texas, 6 p.m. ET
Money line:
Oregon Ducks +5000
Texas Longhorns -100000
Total: 136.5
Oregon: 22-12, 8-10 in Big Ten play
Texas: 31-3, 13-3 in SEC play
BPI projection: Texas Longhorns by 19.4 points, straight up 95.1% of the time
(5) Michigan State Spartans
(4) Oklahoma Sooners -7.5
Norman, Oklahoma, 8 p.m. ET
Money line:
Michigan State Spartans +260
Oklahoma Sooners -325
Total: 158.5
Michigan State: 22-8, 11-7 in Big Ten play
Oklahoma: 24-7, 11-5 in SEC play
BPI projection: Oklahoma Sooners by 5.9 points, straight up 71.1% of the time
(6) Washington Huskies
(3) TCU Horned Frogs -9.5
Fort Worth, Texas, 10 p.m. ET
Money line:
Washington Huskies +390
TCU Horned Frogs -520
Total: 125.5
Washington: 21-10, 10-8 in Big Ten play
TCU: 29-5, 15-3 in Big 12 play
BPI projection: TCU Horned Frogs by 7.9 points, straight up 76.8% of the time
Monday
(6) Alabama Crimson Tide
(3) Louisville Cardinals -8.5
Louisville, Kentucky, Noon ET
Money line:
Alabama Crimson Tide +320
Louisville Cardinals -410
Total: 131.5
Alabama: 23-10, 7-9 in SEC play
Louisville: 27-7, 15-3 in ACC play
BPI projection: Louisville Cardinals by 9.9 points, straight up 82% of the time
(10) Virginia Cavaliers
(2) Iowa Hawkeyes -14.5
Iowa City, Iowa, 2 p.m. ET
Money line:
Virginia Cavaliers +850
Iowa Hawkeyes -1450
Total: 135.5
Virginia: 19-11, 11-7 in ACC play
Iowa: 26-6, 15-3 in Big Ten play
BPI projection: Iowa Hawkeyes by 10.4 points, straight up 83.1% of the time
(6) Notre Dame Fighting Irish
(3) Ohio State Buckeyes -6.5
Columbus, Ohio, 4 p.m. ET
Money line:
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +220
Ohio State Buckeyes -270
Total: 148.5
Notre Dame: 22-10, 12-6 in ACC play
Ohio State: 26-7, 13-5 in Big Ten play
BPI projection: Ohio State Buckeyes by 3.4 points, straight up 62.5% of the time
(5) Kentucky Wildcats
(4) West Virginia Mountaineers -3.5
Morgantown, West Virginia, 5 p.m. ET
Money line:
Kentucky Wildcats +150
West Virginia Mountaineers -180
Total: 127.5
Kentucky: 23-10, 8-8 in SEC play
West Virginia: 27-6, 14-4 in Big 12 play
BPI projection: West Virginia Mountaineers by 0.6 points, straight up 52.1% of the time
(9) Syracuse Orange
(1) UConn Huskies -36.5
Storrs, Connecticut, 6 p.m. ET
Money line: Off
Total: 139.5
Syracuse: 23-8, 12-6 in ACC play
UConn: 34-0, 20-0 in Big East play
BPI projection: UConn Huskies by 30.2 points, straight up 99% of the time
(7) Illinois Fighting Illini
(2) Vanderbilt Commodores -13.5
Nashville, Tennessee, 7 p.m. ET
Money line:
Illinois Fighting Illini +650
Vanderbilt Commodores -1000
Total: 153.5
Illinois: 21-11, 9-9 in Big Ten play
Vanderbilt: 27-4, 13-3 in SEC play
BPI projection: Vanderbilt Commodores by 9.7 points, straight up 81.4% of the time
(9) USC Trojans
(1) South Carolina Gamecocks -22.5
Columbia, South Carolina, 8 p.m. ET
Money line:
USC Trojans +3000
South Carolina Gamecocks -10000
Total: 131.5
USC: 17-13, 9-9 in Big Ten play
South Carolina: 31-3, 15-1 in SEC play
BPI projection: South Carolina Gamecocks by 18.4 points, straight up 94.3% of the time
(8) Oklahoma State Cowgirls
(1) UCLA Bruins -26.5
Los Angeles, 10 p.m. ET
Money line:
Oklahoma State Cowgirls +4000
UCLA Bruins -50000
Total: 138.5
Oklahoma State: 23-9, 12-6 in Big 12 play
UCLA: 31-1, 18-0 in Big Ten play
BPI projection: UCLA Bruins by 22.3 points, straight up 96.8% of the time
The College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward. BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team’s W-L record is to achieve. Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections. Numbers update daily.
Editor’s note: An error relating to individual team records in first-round games has been corrected.
